This is what we call a hypothetical scenario.
It's also unprovable. Therefore it means not a thing.
Again, using the past 10 years as "proof" is not even reasonable given the circumstances of 2016, and how a significant variable change in the way of unified software has completely taken away the team's ability to write custom software.
You've made the implied claim that the only reason for seeing satellite bikes at the front is because those riders have "nothing to lose" versus the factory riders. Arrab once stated that if all riders on the grid were given equal bikes, who would be at the front would probably shock most people, and I do agree with him on this. Especially now that the ECU helped close up the field a bit, the satellite bikes have their best opportunity to compete (unless they are fielding certain lesser talented riders) on a level playing field in low grip conditions since there's no custom programming the factory bikes can simply turn to. Mind you the factory teams still have an advantage with the overall number of techs, but the rain long has had an ability to give the very talented a chance to shine whether it is motorcycle or car racing. It has nothing to do with nothing to lose, and more to do with it being one of the very few opportunities a rider has to show off his respective talent. It's precisely why your thoughts on Scott Redding are misguided. You may not like him personally, but he's a far better rider than you ever have been willing to give him credit for. At any rate, a couple of the factory riders are in desperate need of points, and as I already stated, they don't have the luxury to ride for position in the wet like MM.