Man.... it's a bit quiet here. Hope everybody is ok. Does this season feel like it's going on forever? Usually they just go by too fast.
Anybody done the math on how many more races Fabio needs to win to secure the title, if say Pecco finishes 2nd on those races.
Where are the math nerds? C'mon.
With 150 points available, Marc Marquez (60) is the first rider technically unable to accrue the points to catch leader Fabio (211). It's really a two horse race between Pecco and Fabio, I can also envisage Bastianini surpassing Aleix for third.
If Pecco wins the next three races with Fabio 4th in same race that will leave Fabio on 250 points and Pecco on 256 with three races remaining. This shows how hard it will be for Pecco to close in on Fabio.
After it's all over, I suspect the decisive rounds for the protagonists are Argentina to Germany. Fabio with finishes 1,2,4,1,1 and Pecco losing out with 8,1,dnf,1,dnf,dnf in the same 5 rounds.
Interestingly, IF, Pecco wins every race and Fabio follows him on second every race they will be equal on 331 points. And Pecco smashing Fabio on a countback.
Mathematically, Fabio wins if he can reach 332 points. Averaging 20.16 points per race. Peccos maximum tally is 331.
We are in for a cracker closing of the season, probably the tightest battle for years.
In my opinion, this really is Quartararo's championship to lose.
I can't wait to witness it.