DePuniet stole the show in qualifying. He was spectacularly loose all over the circuit, and he was the first person to start pushing so he got plenty of camera time for his sponsors and team.
Lorenzo must be the man to beat. He is healthy, and Forcada has apparently engineered his bike to be a half second faster than any of the Hondas through the final two sectors. If Lorenzo can manage decent form on full fuel, I think he will win easily. If Pedrosa starts to run away at the beginning, Lorenzo might be impatient and make a mistake early in the race.
BTW, I'm predicting that only 12 bikes cross the finish line.