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2015 Sepang and tires again??
You people have no life.
Let's talk about Cals new bike
You people have no life.
Let's talk about Cals new bike
Exactly. Yamaha doesn't have #1 rider so they take the median path. Marquez, Lorenzo & Iannone get their way, while Pedrosa, Dovizioso & Rins have to like it or lump it. Same for Aprilia, KTM & the satellites.
You can be sure Rossi has it in his contract that he gets preferential treatment regarding development of bikes and where applicable - tire
design.
This is how the existing model, prior to the introduction of spec tires, was expected to function. Didn't work that way in practice.
For one, the series would quickly reduce to two suppliers. Dunlop or Pirelli may spend a season or two supplying a smaller team that couldn't afford something better but eventually they'd get forced out.
No way to know that for certain.
The two that remain will compete primarily for the bragging rights & publicity associated with race wins and podiums. Which is fine if you're Honda or Yamaha - not so much if you're KTM or Aprilia.
The argument about the expense of the adapting a bike to a tyre to find those extra tenths also gets turned on its head. The teams with the largest budgets, consistently vying for race wins get to determine the direction of tyre development. The teams with the smallest budgets are forced to adapt their bikes to the available tyres. Its like a regressive taxation system.
And even that works only as long as the two tyre suppliers are competitive. When one of them fails to be competitive as the Michelin fronts were in the latter half of 2008, they can potentially cripple the rider. And then you have Lorenzo finishing in 10th place after qualifying 17th on the grid at Brno (with Pedrosa 15th), 40 seconds behind Rossi's Bridgestone-shod M1 that took first place. Sounds familiar.
Not necessarily. I'd argue a very rapid development thrust is actually a bigger impediment to a stable production process (compared to scaling up production).
I may not be able to produce a notarized memo from Michelin to certify my statement - but logic and experience informs us that things not mass produced are virtually always of better quality - for more reasons than I can type in an hour. In the event - the rapidity of the development is not what I was referring to. Simply that creating cutting edge racing equipage in mass quantities necessarily limits a makers capacity to monitor quality.
Also, while Michelin had a couple of ignominious failures this year, we have seen them happen in the non-spec era as well. Mugello 2004, for example, where Tamada's Bridgestones chunked out while Nakano's exploded at 200 mph.
True to an extent, but that is where subtle difference in ECUs is even more important. It’s not so much about more power, anymore, but it is about useable/controllable power.A valid point, but a preferred tyre would give more advantages than a modified ECU power map/curve. What you also have to remember is the ECU map is mainly limited by the fuel capacity. Even if they were able to put out more power or improved TC than another rider's ECU, the limiting factor is the tyre.
If offered without evidence, that's basically akin to a conspiracy theory. Meanwhile we have Lorenzo on record saying that Yamaha favoured Rossi but in all technical matters gave Lorenzo equal treatment. And this from way back in 2009 when he was given equivalent status to Rossi, prompting the latter to leave in a huff and spend two ignominious seasons at Ducati.You can be sure Rossi has it in his contract that he gets preferential treatment regarding development of bikes and where applicable - tire
design.
Of course we know that. Tech 3 may have only dumped Dunlop in 2007 but it was a two horse race long before the spec tyre was introduced.No way to know that for certain.
With the tyre design in a constant state of flux, the pressure at the production end will likely remain high even while servicing smaller volumes. Alternatively, they could invest more in quality control but those are costs that will be passed on to the customer.I may not be able to produce a notarized memo from Michelin to certify my statement - but logic and experience informs us that things not mass produced are virtually always of better quality - for more reasons than I can type in an hour. In the event - the rapidity of the development is not what I was referring to. Simply that creating cutting edge racing equipage in mass quantities necessarily limits a makers capacity to monitor quality.
Not implying B-Stones are faultless; merely saying that all makers would benefit from decreased pressure of creating optimal quality tires - if they didn't have to produce them in such high numbers.
This is the crux of the argument. This model, which is very different from the more conventional model advocated by Keshav, wouldn't just increase costs it would send them through the roof.
The top 2 or 3 factory riders might get their preferred tyre (and I emphasize 'might', since there are only two tyre suppliers for all practical purposes) but the smaller teams, both factory & non-factory, would be very badly hit.
Once you mandate that Bridgestone must match that for every rider, that's twice as many tyres being shipped to each round, twice as much in costs but without the advertising to pay for it all.
Which means the teams pay for the tyres - which is fine for HRC, not so much for Aspar.
Competitive? Question is, who's paying for this? Please take a look at any of Herve Poncharal's interviews and you'll see why running a team with his budget is not just a challenge but constant source of frustration.
Which has nothing to do with the tyre, per se. When Tech 3s take in the ex-YRT M1s, they will run them on the same tyres they were designed for. And even if they find that another supplier is offering better tyres, the factory teams will quicker to switch leaving the performance gap essentially unchanged.
As far as the record is concerned, once Stoner, Pedrosa & Lorenzo joined Rossi in the premier class, race victories quite predictably dried up for rest of the field.
In 2007, only two other riders won a race, both on factory bikes (GSV-R & GP7).
In 2008, before the spec tyre era, the satellites accounted for only two podiums and that's it. Next year on the spec Bridgestones, again two podiums.
Of course we know that. Tech 3 may have only dumped Dunlop in 2007 but it was a two horse race long before the spec tyre was introduced.
Today with the field separated by just few tenths, nobody can afford to go experimenting with Dunlops, nor can they afford to invest in the R&D required to compete with Michelin & Bridgestone, with a limited customer base (assuming they can even find a team willing to run with their tyres).
For years Michelin were the dominant force in motogp. Nobody could afford to go experimenting in Bridgestones, let alone Dunlop.
In 2005 13 out 17 races went to Michelin shod bikes. Experts questioned why Ducati had switched to Bridgestone.
Just 2 short years later, motogp was flipped on its head. Nobody, at least that wanted to be the champ, could afford to go experimenting with Michelin.
You seam clued up on business theory, its also well established in business competition is good for consumers. Choice is good for consumers. Monopolies, while at times are anavoidable, more often than not are bad for cunsumers. I fail to comprehend how a sport based on competition of manufacturers at its core is helped by having a monopoly tire supplier?
Statistically its simple, having more than one tire suppliers creates greater viariability, less predictability.
Gambling on an unknown supplier such as Dunlop is always going to be more attractive to the smaller teams ala Ducati, Suzuki, Aprilia, KTM. They will take the gamble and history indicates that gamble tends to pay off about once decade. Doesn't sound like much, but a 10% chance is better than what I could predict they have at present, maybe 1%.
Also on the topic of the so called dominant alien riders, Vinales is the prefect example. Not one of the established 'aliens'. Was never going to become an alien, until Lorenzo vacated his seat. Now we will see, but theres no doubt in my mind Vinales would not be leading any test times on the Suzuki with spec tires. But with prototype tires, who knows, it might have been that once a decade opportunity, to both him and Suzuki. Not to short-cut and get a cheap championship, but to go outside the square of the constant refiners and do something original with a new upcoming rider. 2007 all over again.
Its seams obvious to me it was the powerhouse players of Honda and Yamaha that wanted a spec tire because they would benefit the most by that.
I don't follow English football much, but surely Leicester City winning a title was glorious even though Manchester United have and invest much more money and have many more supporters particularly worldwide and them winning is I am sure in general much better for business.
The whole thing is gone now, the justification for the investment required for a tyre war by the tyre companies was development which no longer applies, and it is pretty much all for advertising purposes now as JKant says. As you have said the traditional prototype/development aspect of the sport is problematic now anyway as they can't continue to make the bikes faster indefinitely whatever the means.
I think Leisteter wining the league might be beyond 1 in 10 or even one in 100. We could be talking the cataclismal glactical 1 in 1000 the comet will strike earth odds there.
Sure costs would plateau eventually but it would still be at a level which is not affordable for the majority of the field.It is an expensive sport for prototypes so yes, costs would increase but again these cost would actually plateau and drop as trends developed along the lines of which tyres are more 'in demand' etc.
Thing is, we've been here in past. Pramac dumped its Dunlops in 2006. Tech 3 used them for a year but by 2007, they'd realized that they didn't have a future together with its riders placing last and third last in the rider standings.I suspect that there would be at least three tyre companies that would appear over time (Michelin, Bridgestone and Dunlop) with possibility of others who may show limited interest based on contractual obligations (ie. Pirelli may decide to contract to Aspar and only Aspar)
This takes us back to square one where every rider is forced to use the tyre that his team is contracted for.Not quite ............ contracts.
The tyre company should be expected to make their tyres available for only their contracted teams or riders so again, numbers drop and after trends then it becomes cheaper (relative of course)
Not at all. Short or long, its always interesting.Apologies for shortness of answers, at work so keeping it simple rather than my usual ramble style
Sure costs would plateau eventually but it would still be at a level which is not affordable for the majority of the field.
Tyres in demand would perhaps be manufactured in larger volumes and be cheaper but that also means that more exotic builds would be more expensive putting riders & teams that prefer it at a disadvantage.
Thing is, we've been here in past. Pramac dumped its Dunlops in 2006. Tech 3 used them for a year but by 2007, they'd realized that they didn't have a future together with its riders placing last and third last in the rider standings.
Maybe that was because of a lack of will on Dunlop's part to invest in remaining competitive, maybe it was something else. In either case, sponsoring the tailenders wasn't exactly great advertising for its product and its exit from the class was more or less inevitable.
But to come back today, sponsor a team willing to run its tyres and also make those tyres available to rest of the field, its just not doable.
Aspar, for example, is running a GP15 & a GP16 this year. They're effective competing with the Reale Esponsorama team with the same bikes (aside from the other satellites). Bautista has already shown excellent pace and could quite realistically vie for the top non-factory honours (even though Miller, Petrucci & Crutchlow are on factory spec bikes). Abraham has been strong in practice and could also potentially finish the season in the top 15.
Given its fairly decent prospects, would Aspar be willing to risk it all by switching to Pirellis? Would they do so next year when they receive a new batch of bikes that have been specifically designed to work with whatever tyre factory Ducatis are using?
A. This takes us back to square one where every rider is forced to use the tyre that his team is contracted for.
Rossi, Lorenzo, Marquez get their say in how the tyre evolves (since the supplier is interested in getting those wins & podiums) while Folger, Redding & Miller are forced to use what they're given (since the supplier is less interested in top 10 finishes).
B. Not at all. Short or long, its always interesting.
Nobody with messed with that.Actually for me 2007 was like the holy grail of racing seasons. Not only because it was Stoner, it was also Ducati and Bridgestone. It was David vs Goliath in the form of Rossi Yamaha Michelin the absolute powerhouse of MotoGP and David won. I think it was some of the best races I've seen in both 06, 07 thanks mostly to having a genuine tyre war with Bridgestone becoming competitive.
A little known fact, in 07 the championship went 1. Ducati/Bridgestone, 2. Honda/Michelin, 3. Yamaha/Michelin, 4. Suzuki/BS. A truly competitive season. Why would anyone want to mess with that?
Sure. Ducati got one victorious season out of their Bridgestone collaboration and that too wouldn't have been possible without Stoner in their corner. Next year, Rossi & Pedrosa switched to Bridgestones and playing field was leveled for Honda & Yamaha.For years Michelin were the dominant force in motogp. Nobody could afford to go experimenting in Bridgestones, let alone Dunlop.
In 2005 13 out 17 races went to Michelin shod bikes. Experts questioned why Ducati had switched to Bridgestone.
Just 2 short years later, motogp was flipped on its head. Nobody, at least that wanted to be the champ, could afford to go experimenting with Michelin.
MotoGP is NOT a business/market-place. Its a spectator sport. If MotoGP functioned on the market model, there'd only be something like six bikes on the track - non-competitive bikes would simply get weeded out. And there'd be none of this free tyre nonsense - every team would be required to pay market price for their goods.You seam clued up on business theory, its also well established in business competition is good for consumers. Choice is good for consumers. Monopolies, while at times are anavoidable, more often than not are bad for cunsumers. I fail to comprehend how a sport based on competition of manufacturers at its core is helped by having a monopoly tire supplier?
As great as it could be when it pays off, there's also a price to be paid when the gamble fails.Gambling on an unknown supplier such as Dunlop is always going to be more attractive to the smaller teams ala Ducati, Suzuki, Aprilia, KTM. They will take the gamble and history indicates that gamble tends to pay off about once decade. Doesn't sound like much, but a 10% chance is better than what I could predict they have at present, maybe 1%.
Vinales' on a Dunlop-shod GSX-RR might also have been mucking around in 15th place. But because he was on a Michelin-shod Suzuki he finished the season an impressive 4th.Also on the topic of the so called dominant alien riders, Vinales is the prefect example. Not one of the established 'aliens'. Was never going to become an alien, until Lorenzo vacated his seat. Now we will see, but theres no doubt in my mind Vinales would not be leading any test times on the Suzuki with spec tires. But with prototype tires, who knows, it might have been that once a decade opportunity, to both him and Suzuki. Not to short-cut and get a cheap championship, but to go outside the square of the constant refiners and do something original with a new upcoming rider. 2007 all over again.
On the contrary, when tyre wars restart the odds will be stacked in Honda & Yamaha's favour. They are the ones that'll determine the direction of development to ideally suit their bike (and perhaps even get the best builds), leaving KTM & Aprilia out in the cold, forced to adapt their bike to what's available (or take wild gambles with experimental tyres).Its seams obvious to me it was the powerhouse players of Honda and Yamaha that wanted a spec tire because they would benefit the most by that.
On the contrary, when tyre wars restart the odds will be stacked in Honda & Yamaha's favour. They are the ones that'll determine the direction of development to ideally suit their bike (and perhaps even get the best builds), leaving KTM & Aprilia out in the cold, forced to adapt their bike to what's available (or take wild gambles with experimental tyres).
Again, you can employ as much sophistry as you like, but the actual historical fact is that a tiny if well funded artisanal concern like Ducati Corse managed in co-operation with Bridgestone in a couple of years to produce a bike/tyre combination which was capable in the right hands of dominating a championship, and Ducati were prepared to start again from scratch with Michelin rather than have a control tyre. ((EDIT The only other non-Honda or Yamaha title winner for the last 3 decades in Suzuki also chose the Bridgestone route rather than going with the long term dominant tyre providore, and in fact withdrew temporarily from the sport to re-design their bike, a necessity they attributed to having no suitable tyre available. Pretty much the leading satellite team (whatever Gresini were called then) went for Bridgestone as well.))Nobody with messed with that.
They went into 2008 and it was business as usual with the Yamaha with a Bridgestone front back on top.
The tyre wars only ended with the introduction of the spec tyre in 2009. And even if that hadn't happened, the 2009 season would have been no different (with Pedrosa already on Bridgestones and Lorenzo probably switching to it).
Restarting the tyre wars will not enable one to relive the 2007 season, enjoyable as it was.
Sure. Ducati got one victorious season out of their Bridgestone collaboration and that too wouldn't have been possible without Stoner in their corner. Next year, Rossi & Pedrosa switched to Bridgestones and playing field was leveled for Honda & Yamaha.
Hardly a sustainable model. And even those one-offs then become about tyres rather than the better rider-bike combo winning.
MotoGP is NOT a business/market-place. Its a spectator sport. If MotoGP functioned on the market model, there'd only be something like six bikes on the track - non-competitive bikes would simply get weeded out. And there'd be none of this free tyre nonsense - every team would be required to pay market price for their goods.
Encouraging competition in MotoGP means enabling the smaller factories & satellites to run with their better funded peers. Reducing participation costs - spec tyres & spec electronics - are a crucial part of that.
As great as it could be when it pays off, there's also a price to be paid when the gamble fails.
Ducati last year scored two wins with a brace of podiums. Suzuki took one win and three podiums. Those wins generated both confidence and publicity - hugely increasing their value to advertisers and prospective young talent looking to move up to the premier class.
Would they give that up for a 1% chance to receive a super-tyre that they could take championship with? Hell no.
And its no different with the satellite teams. Take Tech 3 & Aspar, for example. Based on their results from last season, which team would the Moto2 riders want to move to? Which team would the advertisers prefer to contract with?
Vinales' on a Dunlop-shod GSX-RR might also have been mucking around in 15th place. But because he was on a Michelin-shod Suzuki he finished the season an impressive 4th.
Any talented rider would prefer to show what he's got on competitive machinery (even if its not an M1) rather than gamble on getting a super-tyre with his career at stake.
On the contrary, when tyre wars restart the odds will be stacked in Honda & Yamaha's favour. They are the ones that'll determine the direction of development to ideally suit their bike (and perhaps even get the best builds), leaving KTM & Aprilia out in the cold, forced to adapt their bike to what's available (or take wild gambles with experimental tyres).
On the contrary, when tyre wars restart the odds will be stacked in Honda & Yamaha's favour. They are the ones that'll determine the direction of development to ideally suit their bike (and perhaps even get the best builds), leaving KTM & Aprilia out in the cold, forced to adapt their bike to what's available (or take wild gambles with experimental tyres).
Interesting ascertion. From what I've read the manufacturers don't regard motogp as simply 'sport'. The racing divisions are basically run as a stand alone entity as far as I can tell. They have employees, budgets, targets, marketing, success and failure. So even though its a sport the racing division functions as a business because in fact that's what they are and that's what they do. Riders are lightbulbs.MotoGP is NOT a business/market-place. Its a spectator sport. If MotoGP functioned on the market model, there'd only be something like six bikes on the track - non-competitive bikes would simply get weeded out. And there'd be none of this free tyre nonsense - every team would be required to pay market price for their goods.
Encouraging competition in MotoGP means enabling the smaller factories & satellites to run with their better funded peers. Reducing participation costs - spec tyres & spec electronics - are a crucial part of that.