Predictions for 2025

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I think its is an accurate assumption that it will be Marquez and Bagnaia competing for the championship. But who will emerge as the best of the rest? KTM seemed to take a step back in 2024, Aprilia seemed to have a good package early on in 2024 but lost pace. Both Honda and Yamaha had bad years, but there were glimpses of hope for both manufactures, so my bold prediction for 2025 is that the Japanese manufactures take a major leap forward early in the season.
Do you want to give a prediction for the first three riders, in order, for at least MotoGP? Then we've got a record.
 
Acosta is also a bit of a curveball. The hype says he will be competing for the championship but the reality is KTM have not shown they can take the challenge to Ducati yet.

Coupled with it being his 2nd season, which is always harder than the first because there is more pressure and no more 'Rookie' forgiveness. Looking at the results this yr, he was quite peaky.

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Binder, on the other hand, was extremely consistent. All but 1 of his race finishes was inside the top 10 and their average finishing position was 6.35 for Binder, 7.4 for Acosta. This is going to be one of the key inter-team battles for me next yr, which will make or break either rider imo. If Binder beats Acosta, it won't help him at all. On the other hand if Acosta comfortably beats Binder, I think that would almost be a career ender (and I say that as a Binder fan)
 
If Binder beats Acosta, it won't help him at all. On the other hand if Acosta comfortably beats Binder, I think that would almost be a career ender (and I say that as a Binder fan)

When does Binder's contract expire, end of 2026? With all the extensions I can't remember. Yea, if Acosta comfortably beats Binder, it may be the beginning of the end, however, the end could still be some years away. How much longer does Binder want to race and is he willing to go to a satellite team? IMHO, there is no shame in it. If MM can do it, anybody can and hold their head high. Even Rossi did it but wasn't his bike factory spec at the time? Heck, Marc even did it with a year old machine.
 

Dall'Igna says the GP25 won't be a huge jump compared to the GP24, unlike the difference between the GP24 and GP23. I don't think any of the riders who will be on a GP24 are good enough to rack multiple wins, but maybe this means DiGia won't be heads and shoulders above the other non-factory Ducatis.

I wonder if this will help the other manufacturers to catch up too, but I still expect Marc/Pecco to top every race they finish without crashes.

I'm not a fan of making predictions because I'm pretty awful at them, but since I'm in this thread already, I'll give mine:

1. Marc (please don't get injured)
2. Pecco
(power gap here)
3. Acosta
 
Top 3 is boring. We always Predict that. But what about the bottom 3? Repsol Honda locked down the last 2 spots this year easily. Marini only scored 14 points I think he can do better. Maybe single digits next year with 9 points. I still have Marini at the bottom next year followed by Chantra and Mir.
 
Top 3 is boring. We always Predict that. But what about the bottom 3? Repsol Honda locked down the last 2 spots this year easily. Marini only scored 14 points I think he can do better. Maybe single digits next year with 9 points. I still have Marini at the bottom next year followed by Chantra and Mir.

I see the bottom 3 being from top to bottom, Marini, Mir, and Chantra. I don't see Chantra lasting very long in GP.
 
Bottom 3:

1. Chantra
2. Raul
3. Mir

I could also see someone like Mav or Jack having a complete collapse.

I can see Mav collapsing because I don't know how well suited that KTM is for his riding style. Better suits Acosta and Binder. I think Enea should do okay on the bike honestly once he adjusts to it. I wonder if they are setting Mav up for a testing role whenever Pedrosa decides to hang it up. Well Pedrosa extended one more year but realistically I don't know if he plans on hanging around for the new bikes or not.
 
I thought I would give a go to predicting the whole grid. Have put an estimated range in.

Predicted Position (Range)
1. M Marquez (1-2)
2. Pecco (1-2)
3. Martin (3-6)
4. Acosta (3-7)
5. DiGi (3-5)
6. Binder (5-8)
7. A Marquez (5-8)
8. Bastiannini (6-9)
9. Morbidelli (9-12)
10. Bezz (8-12)
11 Aldeguer (9-12)
12. Ogura (8-12)
13. Mav (11-14)
14. Fabio (10-14)
15. Rins (13-15)
16. Oliveira (14-16)
17. Jack (15-18)
18. Fernandez (16-19)
19. Zarco (18-20)
20. Mir (19-21)
21. Marini (20-21)
22. Chantra (21-22)
 
I thought I would give a go to predicting the whole grid. Have put an estimated range in.

Predicted Position (Range)
1. M Marquez (1-2)
2. Pecco (1-2)
3. Martin (3-6)
4. Acosta (3-7)
5. DiGi (3-5)
6. Binder (5-8)
7. A Marquez (5-8)
8. Bastiannini (6-9)
9. Morbidelli (9-12)
10. Bezz (8-12)
11 Aldeguer (9-12)
12. Ogura (8-12)
13. Mav (11-14)
14. Fabio (10-14)
15. Rins (13-15)
16. Oliveira (14-16)
17. Jack (15-18)
18. Fernandez (16-19)
19. Zarco (18-20)
20. Mir (19-21)
21. Marini (20-21)
22. Chantra (21-22)
Good prediction
 
Only time will tell. Still a lot of unknowns with machinery and as is often the case, someone unexpected could make a big jump that we didn't see coming.

ETA: Though not including injuries, I am very confident of my bottom 4 unfortunately.
If we could be 100% accurate with our predictions there would be no point watching the racing.

I predicted that this years champion would be the one who crashed the least, which turned out true. However I certainly didn't predict that second place would notch up 11 wins and still not be world champion, ie a lot more to it than just DNF's
 
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