<div class='quotetop'>QUOTE (Babelfish @ Jul 29 2009, 11:58 AM)
<{POST_SNAPBACK}><div class='quotemain'>For FU sake
Getting a little frustrated that your explanations 'don't hold water'?
<div class='quotetop'>QUOTE <div class='quotemain'>Actual risk is something one assess BEFORE the race.
No, really?
<div class='quotetop'>QUOTE <div class='quotemain'>If anything the race proved that the old rules still rule: Go with the same as your closest competitors. 13 of 15 on slicks completed the race, and they all were way in front of the two on rain tires.
Do you understand the concept of a gamble? No.
<div class='quotetop'>QUOTE <div class='quotemain'>
Two fallers
Actually, three. But maybe one of them was just my imagination.
<div class='quotetop'>QUOTE <div class='quotemain'>So, all in all that's pretty
overwhelming proof that slicks were the right tire.
You don't exactly have the credibility of stating anything has "overwhelming proof" (as the latest exchanges should remind you). Perhaps you intend to backpedal from this later...too.
<div class='quotetop'>QUOTE <div class='quotemain'>That said, I'll agree that the front runners of the championship in a race like this does have a little higher risk of going out although I consider that to be quite minor and even as they now did, it's far from given that they will go out, allways.
Being on slicks on on a slippery changing condition is always a risk, you still haven't given anybody any "overwhelming proof" it was a good idea. The top four regulars didn't podium, that others with slick 'finished' the race is hardly "proof" that it was a stupid gamble.
<div class='quotetop'>QUOTE <div class='quotemain'>PS! destroying those wets put both stoner and hayden at a quite high risk of going out too. To ride those tires at the end of the race must have been like riding on slicks on asphalt partly covered with pea sized rolling stones.
I guess this would explain why the Ducatis were actually having faster lap times near the end of the race than the slicks, right?
EDIT: Adding
You've written a lot, but still have failed miserably in show why it was not a reasonable decision to use wets, in conditions that were constantly changing. If fact Babel, I rewatched the race last night. I know you are fond of using the ‘commentator's takes and reports as authority’. So explain why the commentators would say the following: After lap one, they said, it is raining allot harder in the paddock, perhaps the Ducatis’ gamble will pay off. Was it really so far fetched? Then they reported that other teams were warming up their rain bikes. (Why would they do that if the conditions were so dry?) Again, it was a reasonable gamble. Oh but there is more. After Lorenzo crashed, they said the gamble on slicks had not paid off for him. (Why would they say that? Perhaps riding on slick was also a gamble too?) When Rossi crashed, they asked a similar question, the idea being that being on slicks and wets were both gambles. Again Babel, I'm saying both were reasonable gambles. In addition, there is evidence as the events transpired of yielding positive and negative consequences for either decision, but this is hardly tantamount to calling the choice of wets dumb or stupid or wrong. I think it’s a knee-jerk reaction to think going out on wets in this particular condition because most everybody choice one choice over the other lacks in-depth evaluation. Even when teams have chosen hard or softs or vis versa, the results have yielded start differences, sometime not, but you don’t get people accusing one choice as ........, right? Dude, why can't you just admit it was a reasonable gamble, a choice that was not so far fetched? You don't alway have to tow the anti-stoner line.