<div class='quotetop'>QUOTE (Bunyip @ Feb 9 2010, 06:52 PM)
<{POST_SNAPBACK}><div class='quotemain'>I saw the video interview of Schwantz on the speedtv website, and the interviewer was virtually begging KS to back Spies for a win in 2010. I think Schwantz said "yes he can win" out of sympathy to the interviewer.
I think the odds are high that Spies wont win in 2010. I think a lot of misadventures to the aliens would be necessary for that to occur. Not to say that spies is not an incredible talent.; just that , as he says, the next step up to the top 4 level is bigger than most of us can imagine. Toseland fizzled out after a bright beginning. I think spies is better than that, but is he as good as he needs to be?? Who knows. It will all unfold before us this year. Spies will add to the spectacle this year, and even if he doesn,t podium, I, for one, am very glad that he is there. It pains me to say it, but I suspect he will do better than Bayliss in the long run.
Ben's got it. He earned 3 consecutive AMA superbike titles by beating the greatest AMA SBK champion of all time. He broke the pole record, won 14 races, and won the WSBK title in his maiden season. He won his WSBK title on a bike he'd never ridden before (it's maiden season), on tires he'd never ridden before, and at tracks he had never seen before.
He's like Rossi in regards to his ability to find extra time on the brakes, and he is pretty good at avoiding injury (knock on wood). Like Rossi, Ben has only one problem, imo---Casey Stoner.
Casey's raw speed makes him a very difficult adversary for the race strategists.
I'm not saying Casey doesn't have race craft or equal talent b/c clearly he does, I'm just saying, when Casey is in the zone, other riders can't think their way past him. They have to cut corners or hope he falls.