I heard yesterday that Rins had spoken to riders about retiring. He came back too soon, from his injury. That is the first injury I saw live, trackside, and I must say I was very surprised that it might have been a career ending one. It did look so severe.
If Rins drops out of the series, that might free up the vital free seat that can come in handy for many of the riders searching for a spot.
At Honda, Mir is finished. The noises coming out of that garage is that he is not someone they would like to retain, and he has been very vocal about HRC ruining riders, except for their bank accounts. Taka-san have been halfway out the door for a couple of years. Ogura should know that the time to step up is approaching. HRC will develop very quickly in 25 & 26, would be my guess. So grab that seat while you can!
Aprilia would like to have an Italian rider, and the two VR46 ones are the most likely candidates. I hope that Diggia will be the one who gets the chance, so that VR46 can go back to the team for VR academy riders. That would leave Bezzecchi and Morbidelli as their prefered line up.
Since Aldeguer is signed by Ducati Corse, I'd thought that the second Gresini bike would be his. So they're complete.
Trackhouse and Pramac to be decided. Trackhouse would need to agree with Aprilia how they would like to line up, and neither of their riders have been delivering the goods. Raul is young enough to be given another year, and he almost were able to show why he came close to winning the Moto2 title.
Pramac, if leaving for Yamaha, could have first dibs on both Oliveira and Miller. Two very good riders for development, and they've ridden the lot, combined.
I wouldn't be surprised if Roberts were given the Trackhouse nod, while Augusto given a lifeline in WSBK.