3715651395356205
it's not only data gathering through testing, or lack thereof, but also a tyre thing. Aleix said that the very soft tyre wouldn't last race distance in Qatar (although it did so in Sepang). so we should exclude the times set on the super softs when thinking about the race. open bikes, and aleix surely (he did a top speed of 346 kph, btw, fastest of all) will have to be reckoned with. but on medium tyres (which both factory and open bikes are allowed to use) the margin is less than a second, which is ok given prior testing vs. no prior testing on that circuit. factory teams have much more potential of improvement than open teams, and will surely find it. then tyre durability will play a big role for sure. I predict that the race will be won by the factory rider who can make the super hard tyre work best.
3715671395369862
The Open class riders have been handed what could almost by todays standards be a qualifying tire. This is going to put riders up front of the grid who dont have the experience to be there and will cause carnage. The championship could very well be decided on which title contender gets taken out by one of these riders. It will stir things up for sure in the first 6-7 laps. You will have Marquez, Lorenzo, Pedrossa, and Rossi, desperate to cut through the traffic to get clear. If one gets clear for a couple of laps and the others get hung up, the race will be decided in the first few laps. Passing skill and balls will rule the day. That will work against Pedrosa, and play right into Lorenzo's hand if he is getting the same type starts as last year. Marquez had better up his game on the line or he might find himself losing touch with Lorenzo while he carves his way through the pack after losing a couple of spots like he normally does . Turn one will see a lot of action this year, a lot of it bad.
3715691395371548
I seriously doubt this happens, it's day one on a notoriously dirty Qatar track that has had sand on it every year since they've been allowed to open the season. The open bikes are going to be like Ducati and put up quick times on day one, but see small improvements through practice to qualifying because of their soft tires. Those sophisticated factory electronics don't get on well with a dirty track.
3715721395379209
Surely Aleix can't win this race.... There's no way,... right?
3715721395379209
Surely Aleix can't win this race.... There's no way,... right?