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I actually thought VR would perform much better at Catalunya. In fact, I don't think we have really seen his potential yet, which I would say is more like Qatar and less like Austin. I think we have been a bit skewed by Bautista taking him out at Mugello, where I think he could have had a good run. He did after all claim to have a mechanical issue in Texas. We often chalk it up to excuse making, but I have no reason to disbelieve him, as the same goes with Lorenzo and his bum tire at Le Mans. But if you consider, after Qatar, VR had a slew of bad luck, mechanical in Austin, a crash at Le Mans in tricky condition (he is after all human), and Bautista at Mugello. Assen can be one of his good tracks because I think the Honda's forte might be a bit buffered. I'll predict a close race and VR in the mix.
Alex Barros was at Catalunya, and seeing him on the feed reminded me just how much of an underrated rider he was in GP. Arrabi mentioned the skewed parity of VR's Honda in 02-03, and a good example of this was Assen 02. I remember VR sandbagging behind Barros then blasted past him on the "straight". The four stroke Honda's acceleration pounced on Barros' NSR500, who was riding his heart out at the lead. But, its also worth mentioning that VR master this track.
Btw, I should mention, speaking of Barros, he was not given enough credit for developing the M1, despite his calls for such improvements that VR eventually got. AND, I'll add, its been said that VR's competition was subpar to today's new crop of riders, something I disagree with given the parity picture was previously decidedly in favor of VR while today the rookies are propped up on the best factory machines. Barros is a good example, take a look at how much better his results were after he traded the NSR500 for a RC211V. I can't remember off hand but I think he was on or near the podium after he made the switch.