<div class='quotetop'>QUOTE (mjpartyboy @ Jul 22 2008, 07:42 PM)
<{POST_SNAPBACK}><div class='quotemain'>I wonder how Stoner would be doing if he wasn't on the Duc.
This is so old now. It's like saying Vale would have won in 2006 and 2007 if he stayed on Honda, or that Marco would win if he went to Ducati (as was once confidently predicted).
That Casey would have or wouldn’t have won on the Yamaha/Honda is completely irrelevant and for all intents and purposes, given the success of other good riders on the Ducati there is a significant body of evidence to say that he would have won. There is a body of opinion that says we wouldn’t have AND we will never know because it didn’t happen. Nobody can be right or wrong. Would the Soviet Union have collapsed if they beat the USA to the moon? Would the Vietnam War have gotten going if the shooter missed JFK? Who knows, why even ask it?
You cannot qualify or even assume fact with blatant prognostication and apply causation to hypothetical events. I often ask my kids “how many pizzas can you fit in a dog house if a sunny boy turns corners? The answer is “7” and the reason is “because ice creams don’t grow bones in winter”. The kids love it and understand that hypothetical and nonsensical causal links really mean nothing. Hypothetical answers based on events that are impossible for having not occurred are an exercise in pointless abstraction.
The logic is but for the Ducati..."this" would have happened - but we are examining one of an infinite number of untested variables to which there is no answer and never can be and an intelligent person can NEVER EVER hang their hat on an unchallengeable theory. This is a variable that shall remain untested for all time as there is no way Vale and Casey are going to race each other on their 2008 bikes (but swapped).
I am reminded of the 80’s teen movie revenge of the nerds II (as opposed to “if” by Rudyard Kipling – a different audience required…). They’re all lying around after smoking a joint and Ogre (the boofhead recently turned nerd) listening to the real nerds pondering great questions of science and creation says “What if C-A-T spelt DOG?”. The nerds ponder this as the deepest thing they’ve ever heard. And it was.
What if Valentino was riding a Kawasaki?
Looking at the results of three other Ducati riders (particularly Marco who was second in the championship on a satellite bike) I put this to you.
What if Valentino was riding a Ducati? Would he really have done so well, maybe, maybe not? Who ....... knows!
What if Casey was on a factory Yamaha with Bridgestone’s? Casey has been on 1 and 1 only factory bike in his life and won a championship on it. Everybody else is .... on that bike so it is not the “needs no rider” user-friendly machine often purported to be by the great unwashed who sometime inhabit this and other forums. That is a fact that you cannot devalue with your C-A-T spelt dog logic.
We can come up with a million pointless hypothetical situations to examine and the sum total of the contribution of these is zero and always will be zero and that is that. Why - because Ice creams don’t grow bones in winter and they would have if Casey were on the Yamaha or Honda.
Do we need this rubbish?