+1
as much as it sucks for dani, we must not forget that jorge lost out on a possible 25 points, (16 for sure IMO) at assen because he was taken out.
or was that his fault jum?
with honda having chatter and tyre problems and stoner first announcing his departure,then getting hurt by riding too wild on a .... track this is going to be lorenzos year.
think about it. he finished every race so far in first or second place. i have no doubt he would have done the same at assen , or at very least scored a solid 3rd place podium.
i tend to root for the guy in second place in the championship (as i always did ,except for 2001-2002) ,so i'd love to see dani win some races.
but its near impossible to beat a rider whose worst result is second place.
i don't know how much of a team player casey can and will be.
at least i can't imagine him letting dani pass at his last home round.
we talk a lot about spies bad luck and how lucky pedrosa is to have always had a rossi like string of equipment.
but actually i feel kinda bad for him, his title ambitions have been sabotaged by injury every year up until now, and since last year dani really stepped up his game.
he really deserves a chance to fight for the championship in valencia.
i hope he will get the chance
The bad thing for Pedrosa is that even though there are still 5 races left, there's no one else that can potentially beat Lorenzo in these 5 races except for Stoner. An even then he won't be 100% when he returns so he probably won't be much help at all for Dani, certainly in half of the remaining races. And then as you and others noted, there's the problem of this being his last season and I can't see him accepting to come second.
The only positive for Pedrosa is that he seems to be getting stronger with the latest spec chassis so if he could find an edge over Stoner and Lorenzo at every circuit, then maybe he still has a chance - as small as that can be.
Maybe if Honda gave Bradl the latest HRC spec maybe he could beat JL at a couple of tracks as well... I think that could be a good move for Honda if they really want Dani to have any chance.
"we talk a lot about spies bad luck and how lucky pedrosa is to have always had a rossi like string of equipment.
but actually i feel kinda bad for him, his title ambitions have been sabotaged by injury every year up until now"
I don't know if you are one of them or not but, I never understood what made some fans to believe he always had the best equipment in his entire GP career. That is not the truth. When asked why they think so, they just say "because he rides for HRC and they are the biggest and wealthier team".
Does the journos and experts think like those fans too? I would like to know what Kropo thinks about that, since he's considered one of the most knowledgeable of this sport.
It seems because HRC has the most recources, those fans automatically assume they can't fail to produce the best bike, ignoring the evidence on the track and also the fact that the tires were a big factor as well (tire war), so they lay all the blame on Pedrosa.
Since the change from 990 to 800 Honda was lost with the development direction of the bike. I don't care if the RC212V was built arround Pedro if the bike is not up to the task (hell, tell me what team doesn't buid their bike arround their best hope for the WC, Stoner-Ducati excluded).
It took Honda until 2010 to give him a
consistent competitive package. The previous (800cc) years chassis were flawed, the worst of them being in the first year of the 800 era where he beat Rossi in the WC btw (who like Pedrosa was on michelins) - who was considered "the GOAT" and arguably had the beter ride that year.
Still about 2007, like others the Honda was vastly underpowered compared to the Ducati, so again where does this "best equipment" stuff come from?
It's hard for us - the fans - to determine how much was the bike and the michelins but this package was never competitive (not counting the 990) to allow Pedrosa to genuinely fight for a championship. It was only good for a few times a year on a specific set of circumstances/conditions where everything "clicked". But the package was very inconsistent. Of course his injuries contributed to that but when he was not injured it was easy too see the bike was inconsistent and how he was struggling.
Also I disagree with those few who say 2008 would be his year if not the injury. The only reason he was leading the WC at Sachsenring was because Stoner and Ducati had a temporary slump early in the season due to wrong setup direction and because Rossi (who did everything in his power to dump the michelins as soon as possible) and his crew took a few races to optimize the bike's settings to the bridgestones and adjust his riding accordingly.
And of course 2009 was a such a hopless year for Pedrosa and HRC. He probably was thinking he would have a much better ride than in 2007/'08 now with BS's but the decision to bring a bike not so different from the '08 one proved to be a big mistake as no matter how many different directions they tried with the setup, the bike was so inconsistent and out of sync with the bridgestones, it was eating the tires up in the races so fast that he usually go backwards after mid race.
So for 2010 HRC developed a completely different bike arround the BS tires. It still took them a lot of time and effort to make the chassis better at home with the tires and meanwhile Jorge built a massive lead in the WC.
After his rookie season this was the first time he was actually given proper competitive machinery. After mid season the bike seemed to get better and he finally could show what he could do with competitive equipment, and he started winning consistently until the throttle of his bike stuck open on a straight at Motegi forcing him to land at 300Kph and breaking his collarbone.
So, to my eyes 2010 was the first time in Pedrosa's Motogp carrer that he had a genuine shot of a WC and the first time after his debut season that he had top level equipment (but not for the entire campaign).
Not 2008, but 2010 yes I believe that could be his year if not for the Motegi accident which was not his fault. Yes I'm convinced he would've closed the gap to JL until Valencia because in a short period of time before Motegi he ate big chunks out of JL's lead and the gap was not that big anymore and he had several riders finnish between them unlike in 2012.
His other seasons where he was given top level equipment was of course 2011 (where sic ensured he pass his 6th year without that elusive first title) and this year.