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Estoril 2012: RACE

Joined Oct 2006
25K Posts | 4K+
Your Mom's House
Can't wait, looks like a three way battle at the front.



Go Nicky.



Go Cal.
 
Anyone see the post QP interview with Jorge? When asked about his prospects for the race Jorge said he was not having good feeling with the bike in general - and the start of the race could potentially be dangerous (grins) because his plan is to pass Cal going into turn one with hard braking.
 
I still think it will be between Pedrosa & Lorenzo.

They seem to have a significant advantage in the last half of the circuit over everybody else.

Lorenzo still has warm up to optimize his setup & he is normally very quick here.

Watching qualifying Stoner & Cal were losing near half a second in the last 2 sectors.
 
Anyone see the post QP interview with Jorge? When asked about his prospects for the race Jorge said he was not having good feeling with the bike in general - and the start of the race could potentially be dangerous (grins) because his plan is to pass Cal going into turn one with hard braking.



JK getting excited.
 
I predict-ed a Spies-Stoner-Lorenzo-Crutchlow Battle Royale, with Pedrosa spectating.



Yet it was more of the same. A tad processional you might say.
 
Im a big fan of Hector Barbera. I met him last year during race weekend and we hung out and partied a few days after the race.

We had so much fun together. We still keep in contact and I hope to see him again this year. Hes such a great guy.❤



His qualifying today was amazing. Hes beating out the two factory riders.

He believes hes good enough to be able to eventually get the Factory Ducati ride and today is the first step to proving it.

I think he can do it and I cant wait to see how he does



Lets hope its a clean safe race and nobody crashes into anyone again
 
My tips



Pedrosa

Stoner

Lorenzo



In that order - then it means we have 3 riders on 61 points
<
 
Im a big fan of Hector Barbera. I met him last year during race weekend and we hung out and partied a few days after the race.

We had so much fun together. We still keep in contact and I hope to see him again this year. Hes such a great guy.❤



His qualifying today was amazing. Hes beating out the two factory riders.

He believes hes good enough to be able to eventually get the Factory Ducati ride and today is the first step to proving it.

I think he can do it and I cant wait to see how he does



Lets hope its a clean safe race and nobody crashes into anyone again

MC - he may be a great dude to party with but... he qualifies (usually) well by waiting around for faster guys to latch onto. Its called getting a "tow" or "pull" and he suffers universal derision from this lame-assed tactic!
 
I still think it will be between Pedrosa & Lorenzo.

They seem to have a significant advantage in the last half of the circuit over everybody else.

Lorenzo still has warm up to optimize his setup & he is normally very quick here.

Watching qualifying Stoner & Cal were losing near half a second in the last 2 sectors.



If anyone has a 'significant' advantage, it is Crutchlow. He was .603 to Lorenzo's .619, Pedrosa's .641, Stoner's .730 - but in reality during the race, this is no real advantage... a tenth between first and fourth fastest.



The surface at the Parabolica seems to have come under quite a bit of criticism for its ability to retain water.



I have just spreadsheeted the QP laps for the top 4 and can't see the truth in your 'losing nearly half a second'... not in the faster laps. Of course, when Stoner had a slow lap, he was, but you could say the same about any of the top 4.



There were only two laps where Stoner was .5 a second behind Lorenzo and Pedrosa for T3+T4. Mostly he ranged between .149-.289 with two between .289 and .41. And he more than made up for that with his combined T1+T2 times, where he is faster for eight laps before either Pedrosa, Crutchlow or Lorenzo's figures even show up.



The one with the 'ideal lap time (where the best segments are added together to make a lap) is Pedrosa, followed by Stoner, Crutchlow, Lorenzo - nearly quarter of a second behind Pedrosa.



I don't think there's anything in it, sector-wise - it will be all about tyres - who still has some after lap 15. If Lorenzo can preserve his, he's in with a chance, if he burns them up keeping Stoner in check, Pedrosa is in with a real chance.



Stoner, as always, will do something spectacular... whether that is to piss off into the distance or to drop off with burned-out tyres, arm-pump or to lose it on the dodgy Parabolica surface - who knows?



I think the only sure thing is that Crutchlow is going to have to have luck and determination to make the podium - for the other three, it's hard seeing them off it, in what combination, meh!
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I got some advance video of tomorrows race shot from the bike behind Crutchlow

If you go to 42 seconds into video Cal clearly tales out Nicky again







[media]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=abOB-5tuv74&feature=youtube_gdata_player[/media]



Haha, nice footage
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I am hoping for Carl to be on podium..but today's battle will be between Stoner , Lorenzo and Pedrosa again..

It would be nice though to see JLO, Pedrosa & Carl.. and Stoner in distance fourth..
 
Stoner will want to win this to crush the two Spaniards at their fav (one of) track. If he can achieve this, he will have a massive psychological edge.



No doubt George and Dani will want the win equally as bad. It has to be said that Cal is looking really good. This is great for the championship. So, my picks are:



1. Stoner - too strong and in great form

2. Lorenzo - will ride his heart out, as usual

3. Cal for surpise (but certainly not undeserving) podium. Actually, now I think of it, I don't think it will be a surprise, his time is coming...



Can't wait - should be a ripper!
 
I got some advance video of tomorrows race shot from the bike behind Crutchlow

If you go to 42 seconds into video Cal clearly tales out Nicky again







[media]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=abOB-5tuv74&feature=youtube_gdata_player[/media]



So I ran the onboard through the sound editor, and got shift points around 16,200rpm.
 
1 Pedro

2 Stoner

3 Lorenzo

4 Cal (really wish I could put him 3rd but just can't see it yet. but it is coming)

5 Dovi

6 Spies (wake up son)
 
Go CAL !!!!!!!!!!!!







As long as you let casey be in front of you.





















chateau cardboard to the rescue...............
 
Im a big fan of Hector Barbera. I met him last year during race weekend and we hung out and partied a few days after the race.

We had so much fun together. We still keep in contact and I hope to see him again this year. Hes such a great guy.❤

You are aware he publicly 'came out' the year before.



I have just spreadsheeted the QP laps for the top 4 and can't see the truth in your 'losing nearly half a second'... not in the faster laps. Of course, when Stoner had a slow lap, he was, but you could say the same about any of the top 4.

Outstanding!!! Watch this space - I now feel the urge to produce a venn diagram illustrating todays tyre choice to compliment my Gantt chart I've produced for Ducati.
 

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