MotoGP: 2016 Rider of the Year

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If Cal Crutchlow were not British, he would have been out of GP before 2016 ever rolled around.

Crutchlow managed to crash more in 2016 than any other GP rider.

Second best rider of 2016?

Maybe if I were smoking crack cocaine I could seriously get behind that assessment.
 
Maybe if I were smoking crack cocaine I could seriously get behind that assessment.
What's your assessment of the first and second runner up? (Rider-of-the-year obviously being Marquez.)

I mean.. Lorenzo had a decidedly sub-par season. Rossi was flattered by his bike, tires, team, fans, Dorna and what have you. Pedrosa had arguably the worst season of his career. Crutchlow & Miller competed for crashes. Iannone was both fast and destructive, clocking eight retirements (7 Ducatis and 1 Yamaha).

Vinales is supposedly overhyped & under-performing. Dovizioso had a jinxed season despite finally getting his second race win. Laverty started off well but was less than impressive over the second half. And I imagine hell will freeze over before Barbera makes your list.

So we're only really left with P. Espargaro, Bautista & Petrucci.
 
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What's your assessment of the first and second runner up? (Rider-of-the-year obviously being Marquez.)

I mean.. Lorenzo had a decidedly sub-par season. Rossi was flattered by his bike, tires, team, fans, Dorna and what have you. Pedrosa had arguably the worst season of his career. Crutchlow & Miller competed for crashes. Iannone was both fast and destructive, clocking eight retirements (7 Ducatis and 1 Yamaha).

Vinales is supposedly overhyped & under-performing. Dovizioso had a jinxed season despite finally getting his second race win. Laverty started off well but was less than impressive over the second half. And I imagine hell will freeze over before Barbera makes your list.

So we're only really left with P. Espargaro, Bautista & Petrucci.

Very nice assessment, Vinales was heavily critiqued due to all the hype generated around him. I thought his performance this year was quite strong but also think the Suzuki is not all that bad a bike (AI displayed this already), electronics levelling, concessions, wet weather and tyres all contributing some what to the Suzuki shining a little brighter.

All the hype has put a lot of pressure on him to perform. Next year will be his big year (either prove himself or have all the media band together to rubbish him breaking his confidence). If his performances at Valencia are anything to go by he should be quite strong and already seemed really comfy on the Yamaha (even though it is the most similar bike compared to his Suzuki).

He will be full of confidence and going in strong, really looking forward to him and Marc battling it out to stamp their status in the pecking order. He will wipe the floor with Rossi in my opinion. I agree, Rossi had a bad year in terms of incomplete races, falls, mech failures. If he had of stayed on the bike and even finished in 2nd or 3rd during those races it would have been a nail biter of championship close out. i disagree with those who claim the tyres and electronics failed to achieve their intention of levelling the field based on Marzues finalising the championship on Japan. After all it did aid in producing 9 winners ... if tyre consistency gets better next year it should hopefully reduce all the DNF's and keep a tighter points gap.

Aero design will be a ket factor next year, who is clever enough to get the best working aero design (that fits the criteria) will have an advantage. With Honda's big bang it seems on the surface that it has slowed a little which may keep things interesting.

Cannot wait for 2017, with tyres hopefully a lot more consistent we should see less falls and hopefully a tight championship as we had in 2015.
 
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Maverick's got the pace to challenge for the title, no two ways about it. He was fast and determined, especially over the second half of the season. All the same he needs to work on his consistency and his racecraft. I've seen him flub his timing on overtaking on turns more times than I can recall (though again, less towards the end of the season).

Another worry is that in low-grip conditions, he's been somewhat.. well.. Lorenzo-esque. They both crashed out in Argentina. Vinales finished 9th in Assen (Lorenzo, 10th) and 12th in Sachsenring (Lorenzo, 15th). And then was 9th in Brno though that was a very grippy track for a wet race. He blamed the bike for struggling in the wet, and he may be right going by Espargaro's results.

I do hope he does well at Yamaha. We've had two fantastic seasons. A strong Maverick would make for great third one.

That being said, 'wiping the floor' with Rossi is still a stretch. Rossi's been written off every year since he returned to Yamaha. He still finished with fourteen top-4 finishes in 2013, and was then runner-up three years in a row. And a serious title contender for the latter two of them.

He wasn't that far off even this season. Maybe if he hadn't had the engine-failure at Mugello, or hadn't fallen in some very treacherous conditions in Assen or had Marquez failed to recover when he went into the gravel in Sachsensring,.. who knows? I'd be wary of writing him off for next year.

As a matter of fact, I'd pick him over Vinales as my first runner up. His ability to push and reinvent himself is age-defying. At Jerez, he took pole, led every lap and made the fastest lap. For the first time in his 20 year career. Over the season he had 13 front row starts. Again, a career first. The pts differential may not support it, but I'd say in many ways his season was stronger than his last.
 
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Second runner up for me. Hector Barbera. :D

Fifteen point scoring finishes. Finished in the top 10, nine times, with a 4th at Sepang.

Second to (a very steady) Pol Espargaro on the independent riders chart. On a GP14.

Credit where its due. It was a special season for him and there are not many on the grid who can say the same. Crutchlow maybe. But then he's on a factory-spec bike and should really only be compared to the factory riders.
 
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Vinales had half the wins Valentino Rossi did, and just as many wins as Ducati's Iannone and Dovizioso, as well just as many wins as Dani Pedrosa. Essentially, he managed to be just as good as factory Ducati and one of the half-aliens in a bike that is definitely not superior to Ducati or Repsol Honda.
 
What's your assessment of the first and second runner up? (Rider-of-the-year obviously being Marquez.)

I mean.. Lorenzo had a decidedly sub-par season. Rossi was flattered by his bike, tires, team, fans, Dorna and what have you. Pedrosa had arguably the worst season of his career. Crutchlow & Miller competed for crashes. Iannone was both fast and destructive, clocking eight retirements (7 Ducatis and 1 Yamaha).

Vinales is supposedly overhyped & under-performing. Dovizioso had a jinxed season despite finally getting his second race win. Laverty started off well but was less than impressive over the second half. And I imagine hell will freeze over before Barbera makes your list.

So we're only really left with P. Espargaro, Bautista & Petrucci.

Rossi and Lorenzo were the runners-up after MM.

What order is more of a debate because I can make a good cause for both being 2nd runner-up. I'd lean a little more towards Lorenzo ahead of Rossi because Rossi made a couple of uncharacteristic for him mistakes during races that cost him a race win (Assen) or a very good finishing position (COTA, Motegi). Strong point for him is that in spite of the three mistakes on his part, he's basically venturing into uncharted territory as a closer-to-40 rider who is outperforming those who were little kids when he started competing in the 500cc world championship...and in spite of the fact that late-braking has become somewhat the norm for most GP riders, he is outbraking everyone including Marquez who is as heavy on the brakes as anyone who ever rode in grand prix motorcycles, yet still finds himself unable to outbrake Rossi. Finishing 2nd in the championship at this age is a testament to talent and sheer will. The case for Lorenzo is that when he was on this year, he was simply devastating to watch. It's no surprise that the race of the year was at Mugello when we saw Lorenzo at his absolutely peak performance. For the duration of the battle with Rossi, Lorenzo showed why he is the toughest racer to beat. His lap to lap consistency defies belief, and even under intense pressure, he manages to become LESS prone to mistakes. Once Rossi's engine let go, he found himself in another titanic battle that saw breathtaking riding from both he and Marc Marquez. Yes he barely eked out that win, but he had to stay with MM when it seemed like the race was out of his reach. This is to say nothing of the exclamation point he finished the season with at Valencia when he demolished his own track record.

Now, while both men didn't reach 2015 heights, the cause is very easy to pinpoint - the Yamaha M1. It was not up to it's usual standards of performance. The bike was ill-suited for wet weather tires, and struck me more that the chassis was still designed with the Bridgestone tires in mind, where heat generation was easier.

Lorenzo's Mugello performance was better than anything either Crutchlow or Vinales did this year. Crutchlow has yet to prove he can ride and win with the kind of pressure Lorenzo has won many races under. He crashes in most pressure situations. Vinales hasn't shown himself to be a pressure rider either. Cruising to race victories is all well and good, having to win when someone is meters away from your rear tire over many laps is something else.

The hot ....... takes about Crutchlow and Vinales being the 2nd and 3rd best riders of 2016 are nice, but have no basis in reality.
 
Vinales had half the wins Valentino Rossi did, and just as many wins as Ducati's Iannone and Dovizioso, as well just as many wins as Dani Pedrosa. Essentially, he managed to be just as good as factory Ducati and one of the half-aliens in a bike that is definitely not superior to Ducati or Repsol Honda.
At Silverstone, Vinales had a bike that was definitely superior to the Ducatis (in those conditions) and perhaps even better than the Yamahas & (improved) Hondas.

Aleix Espargaro on the same GSX-RR beat Lorenzo in a head-to-head fight to take 7th place by 3 secs (4 sec - 1 sec pen).
 
What order is more of a debate because I can make a good cause for both being 2nd runner-up. I'd lean a little more towards Lorenzo ahead of Rossi because Rossi made a couple of uncharacteristic for him mistakes during races that cost him a race win (Assen) or a very good finishing position (COTA, Motegi).
Assen & COTA yes, but I'm inclined to give Rossi a pass on the Motegi DNF. He was definitely pushing past his limit there and had a couple of warnings before losing it. But he didn't have a lot of choice in the matter. With Marquez sitting on top of the table by a comfortable margin, settling for points wasn't really an option for Rossi.

'It was something difficult to think that both riders would make a mistake in the race, but maybe Valentino was trying to catch me and I was pushing. Valentino I think did the right strategy: it was like me last year, if you want to have more chance, a small chance to the win the title, you need to win races' - Marquez, Post-race, Motegi

The case for Lorenzo is that when he was on this year, he was simply devastating to watch.
Well when Lorenzo's on it, he's on it and extremely difficult to match let alone beat. But this season we've had only one race where he was on it i.e. Le Mans.

For sure, strong wins in Valencia & Qatar, a spectacle of a finish at Mugello and a well fought second at Aragon, counts. But that needs to be balanced against some truly horrific performances, something we've never seen from him ever before.

At Assen, he got passed by fifteen riders in the first half of the race. Would have been sixteen had Pirro not pitted with a technical fault. On paper, finishing 11th of 15, he rode a better race than Rossi who finished with a big fat zero, but most viewers were dumbfounded. It was nearly as bad in Sachsenring. In Catalunya, he was fading fast before being torpedoed by Ianonne, and may have finished down in 10th place otherwise. Same story in Silverstone & Phillip Island, where he seemed to simply lack the pace. Not being able to run with the factory bikes when you don't have the right feeling is one thing, being swamped by satellites is quite another.

It was a very uncharacteristic season from a multiple world champion on a factory bike, even accounting for a lack of comfort with the new Michelin tyres. This was his lowest points tally since his debut season in 2008 and he's just 43 pts clear of that result (233-190).

Lorenzo's Mugello performance was better than anything either Crutchlow or Vinales did this year. Crutchlow has yet to prove he can ride and win with the kind of pressure Lorenzo has won many races under. He crashes in most pressure situations.
That's debatable. He may not have been in the fight for the top step, but I doubt that lessened the pressure on Crutchlow when he was vying with four factory riders for second place at Silverstone.

Vinales hasn't shown himself to be a pressure rider either. Cruising to race victories is all well and good, having to win when someone is meters away from your rear tire over many laps is something else.
He beat Rabat & Luthi in 2014 by about a sec each. And he's had just two years in the senior class; he can't really be expected to prove himself with a photo finish until suitable circumstances arise. That said, he has been very strong in the final third of the race, when the pressure is arguably higher.
 
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Crutchlow has yet to prove he can ride and win with the kind of pressure Lorenzo has won many races under.

It's easy to prove you can ride and win under "pressure", when you are on one of only 4 motorcycles guaranteed to win during the season for over a decade.

Cruising to race victories is all well and good, having to win when someone is meters away from your rear tire over many laps is something else.

This is one comment where I honestly do no understand how this conclusion was achieved. The factory four have a huge manufactured (pun intended) advantage over the most of the rest of the field - over the entire field if you believe half the rumors that circulate. How it's considered "cruising to race victories" to ride a lower spec, older version of a bike with limited (albeit factory) support to victory twice against the factory bikes, but it's considered a monumental victory to win on a factory bike that has the latest chassis, software, fairing design, full compliment of factory data analysts, factory technicians, a hotline to Japan's R&D team, etc over the satellite bikes that are running 2 or 3 year old bikes is something I don't get.

The hot ....... takes about Crutchlow and Vinales being the 2nd and 3rd best riders of 2016 are nice, but have no basis in reality.

There are a couple of ways to approach how you view a rider's ability or performance during the year. Some people look at the advantages that one rider might have over the other, advantages that have nothing to do with actual ability, and take that into consideration. Simply because it's a different viewpoint does not mean that it is not based on reality.
 
How it's considered "cruising to race victories" to ride a lower spec, older version of a bike with limited (albeit factory) support to victory twice against the factory bikes, but it's considered a monumental victory to win on a factory bike that has the latest chassis, software, fairing design, full compliment of factory data analysts, factory technicians, a hotline to Japan's R&D team, etc over the satellite bikes that are running 2 or 3 year old bikes is something I don't get.
Crutchlow started the season with a factory spec bike and received a new chassis from Honda at Silverstone (passed over by the Repsol riders). He's also had strong support from HRC. He wasn't in the same shoes as the Tech 3 & Pramac riders.

Having said that, it still isn't easy winning even on a factory bike (as Edwards, Dovizioso & Spies would testify) so he definitely deserves the plaudits.
 
Rider of the Year: #43 Jack Miller

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Photo Credit: MotoGP.com

LMMRLLR

No, that's not some strange WWII era military code. And it's not morse. And it's not the result of me drunkenly smashing my head into the keyboard. It's actually a pattern, and if you can't recognize it then all we have to do is flip it vertically.

Lorenzo
Marquez
Marquez
Rossi
Lorenzo
Lorenzo
Rossi

That, ladies and gentlemen, is the list of race winners for the first 7 races of 2016. In fact, it might as well have been FFFFFFF, with F for Factory.

Some may have been caught unawares by any one particular rider's victory at a particular venue - was anyone really surprised that Marquez won on the American continent? Really? - but that can be strained at times. Ultimately, if you were seriously talking about race predictions then you were talking about three groups - the elite 4 with the absolute highest chance (some would say - correctly - the only chance) to win, the "in with a shot" 2nd tier factories (lookin' at you Ducati) and then everybody else. Call it what you will, but if you started watching MotoGP in the past decade you were raised to accept one incontrovertible fact: only the factory bikes win.

"What about wet weather? It's the great equalizer!"

Doesn't matter. Only factory bikes win.

"Well there's always mixed conditions. There's a chance for good strategy there."

Doesn't matter. Only factory bikes win.

"Maybe in the odd dry race then? You never know...."

Are you "touched in the head" or something? Read my lips: no new taxes. Oh, and only factory bikes win! Now shut up and go make me a sammich.

It was a cold, cold world out there for the 80% of the field who can't get a factory ride, as they fought for scraps. For anyone not flying the Repsol / Movistary / (not)Marlboro flag, the best that they could hope for is that one of the factory boys would clear off into the distance so that the camera crew would go hunting a little further afield for some action.

Then, in round 8 of the 2016 championship, under the torrential downpour in Assen that would claim more than one rider, Jack Miller turned that all on its head. He did something that just about everyone associated with MotoGP said, and probably believed, couldn't be done. He won on a satellite machine.

I could make the case that Miller deserves this award for winning, but he doesn't. Other have done that (see: the pattern mentioned above, first and second runner up, Dovi, Iannone, etc). I could make the case that he should be it because he won on a not-Repstar Yamonda bike, but then Call, Dovi, Iannone, Maverick.... Non-factory win? Cal! Which leaves a bit of a quandary. Why does Miller, who finished a lowly 18th in the championship after 18 rounds, deserve rider of the year? Taking a page from another poster's book, I'll say it boils down to this:

Performance under pressure.

To understand the magnitude of what Miller faced all through the race, you have to appreciate the deck stacked against him. He wasn't on the factory team (see all winners this year, last year, year before that, and before... you get the picture, except one), and he had no "factory ride" in a support team (and now that includes the one outlier). He had no big sponsorship, forget having all of the goodies and electronics. He didn't even have "new entry" concessions working for him like the Aprilia, Suzuki and KTM teams. With the weather gods weeping in anguish, all he had was his generations old RCV, his wits and the general lack of self preservation that would allow anyone to ride (and ride fast) in those conditions.

That moment, Round 8 in Assen of the 2016 MotoGP world championship, was Miller's once in a lifetime moment. And riders do not do very well in those conditions.

Take your pick of rider, with the pressure mounting, and you can see them fold. Rossi, in his one real chance for a win with Ducati. Marquez with the championship almost ready to be wrapped up and then scoring multiple DNFs. And on and on. The difference is that these riders always have the fallback of their factory steeds. They have a very good chance of recovering from those errors. With the laps counting down and Marquez - the child phenom and one of the greatest riders on track today - hounding him, it was a do or die moment for Miller.

He could easily have folded under the pressure, and there is no doubt that it had to be immense. There cannot be anyone more aware of how rare a win like his was that the riders themselves. Then possibly the only win that his might might have in their tenure at the class. Then, did we mention that multi-champion and record holder Marc Marquez was in #2 and closing? Many other riders would have pushed just that little bit too much in an ill-fated attempt to solidify their position... and regretted it.

Miller didn't. He just kept on keeping on, controlling the pace masterfully, and came up with the first non-factory win since 2006. And he did it as a true non-factory bike - no factory techs lurking in the garage, no factory spec bike but with support colors. Just a satellite rider on a satellite bike taking the victory.

So, for showing us that it can still be done, for riding past the odds and not folding like a used napkin on 25 cent hot wings night, for taking a win before even Ducati could, Jack Miller gets rider of the year.
 
Rider of the year or ride of the year?

I think he is well in contention for ride of the year, along with Crutchlow.

Rider of the year? Like the championship, for me that is across the whole season, even allowing for handicaps as you do so that the champion is not necessarily the rider of the year.
 

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