I read this article in Gazzeta dello Sport. Accoriding to them Rossi has the best chances to win it...i'll post here a translation of the article here... sorry for any mistakes...
<div class='quotetop'>QUOTE <div class='quotemain'>The sphere says Rossi Two GP at the end: we analyse the iridescent percentages of 5 pilots at a run. It is favoured, Hayden first alternative, Melandri and Capirossi with the handicap heads, Pedrosa almost outside.
MILAN, on September 25 2006 - A challenge for five, with two alone competitions to discuss before the most beautiful Worldwide one concludes. The MotoGP files the rendezvous of Motegi with a classification that Hayden sees 27 anchors to the order, with 12 points on Red, on Melandri, 31 on Capirossi and 34 on Pedrosa. On October 15 it is run to Estoril, 29 of the same month to Valencia. Where, except for a (improbable) miracle aside of the present iridescent leader in Portugal, will one find us again to see how it goes finishing. We do the papers to 5 protagonists remained at a run, in order of classification.
HAYDEN - In falling phase of quite a lot, nevertheless always remains " clung at the match ", to use a tennis expression. Supposed better to Valencia that to Estoril, American has a despairing need of without making eat too many points in Portugal then to think (it that he succeeds well) in the last competition. His Honda is very reliable, he has asked of arranging the clutch for better departures. Iridescent possibilities: 30 %.
Rossi - it Has reassembled to big falcate at-51 after the withdrawal of Lagoon Seca to present-12. The strongest from the psychologic point of view and for the imagination that can lead in a final duel. Contrarily to Hayden, It Is worth to the Estoril has more arrows to his arch that not to Valencia. But the only one is perhaps in degree of winning both GP. His Yamaha must not do mechanical jokes as in the first half of the year. Iridescent possibilities: 40 %.
MELANDRI - Apart from the indecision between Honda and Ducati in sight of 2007, Mark is very well placed at mental level. It has not to lose too much, has already received little helps from the House of Tokyo and to Valencia it has already won one year does. Moreover, the competition of Phillip Island has demonstrated that on wetted it goes strongly, and the Atlantic Portuguese coast often presents rain. Moreover 27 points to recover are not little. Iridescent possibilities: 15 %.
CAPIROSSI - Can complain quite a lot on the crash at Barcelona but also on the Australian rain: if his delay transformed the 7th place of Phillip Island into a 2nd one (and on the paper it could win) to this hour at Hayden's it would belong 20 points. The Ducati there is, but for the GP that lack there is also the unknown from the rubbers Bridgestone. To favour of Loris his grinta of combatant, also in difficult situations. Iridescent possibilities: 10 %.
PEDROSA - Up to Sepang seemed put better than Hayden, also in the internal hierarchies of the Hrc. Then the Malay fall, with the consequences discounted in Australia and Japan, has thrown it out back in the Worldwide one. The stop can help it to be replaced in sixth physically but it cannot return to him the points left for road. And freely a detaching of 34 points, with 4 pilots to unhorse, puts it a little outside at the games. Iridescent possibilities: 5 %.
http://www.gazzetta.it/Motori/Motomondiale.../bilancio.shtml
So in your view who and and what are the chances for this five riders that are mathematical perspective challengers to the title?
Hayden - he has the lead...can he defend it? in my view he will win it only if he finishes in front of rossi in points at least once 40%
Rossi - has a great form...if M1 runs well i can't see a reason to stop rossi from taking home another trophy... 40%
Melandri .... super form... still 27 points is a long shoot: 8%
Capirossi... if bridgestones works and a miracle happens he could pull this off 7%
Pedrosa valencia will be a race where he will fight to perform good because is another home race for him...Sepang crash distroyed his chances to a title in his rookie year 5%
For me only hayden and rossi will count in the title clash...i say they have equal chances so bring on estoril...
<div class='quotetop'>QUOTE <div class='quotemain'>The sphere says Rossi Two GP at the end: we analyse the iridescent percentages of 5 pilots at a run. It is favoured, Hayden first alternative, Melandri and Capirossi with the handicap heads, Pedrosa almost outside.
MILAN, on September 25 2006 - A challenge for five, with two alone competitions to discuss before the most beautiful Worldwide one concludes. The MotoGP files the rendezvous of Motegi with a classification that Hayden sees 27 anchors to the order, with 12 points on Red, on Melandri, 31 on Capirossi and 34 on Pedrosa. On October 15 it is run to Estoril, 29 of the same month to Valencia. Where, except for a (improbable) miracle aside of the present iridescent leader in Portugal, will one find us again to see how it goes finishing. We do the papers to 5 protagonists remained at a run, in order of classification.
HAYDEN - In falling phase of quite a lot, nevertheless always remains " clung at the match ", to use a tennis expression. Supposed better to Valencia that to Estoril, American has a despairing need of without making eat too many points in Portugal then to think (it that he succeeds well) in the last competition. His Honda is very reliable, he has asked of arranging the clutch for better departures. Iridescent possibilities: 30 %.
Rossi - it Has reassembled to big falcate at-51 after the withdrawal of Lagoon Seca to present-12. The strongest from the psychologic point of view and for the imagination that can lead in a final duel. Contrarily to Hayden, It Is worth to the Estoril has more arrows to his arch that not to Valencia. But the only one is perhaps in degree of winning both GP. His Yamaha must not do mechanical jokes as in the first half of the year. Iridescent possibilities: 40 %.
MELANDRI - Apart from the indecision between Honda and Ducati in sight of 2007, Mark is very well placed at mental level. It has not to lose too much, has already received little helps from the House of Tokyo and to Valencia it has already won one year does. Moreover, the competition of Phillip Island has demonstrated that on wetted it goes strongly, and the Atlantic Portuguese coast often presents rain. Moreover 27 points to recover are not little. Iridescent possibilities: 15 %.
CAPIROSSI - Can complain quite a lot on the crash at Barcelona but also on the Australian rain: if his delay transformed the 7th place of Phillip Island into a 2nd one (and on the paper it could win) to this hour at Hayden's it would belong 20 points. The Ducati there is, but for the GP that lack there is also the unknown from the rubbers Bridgestone. To favour of Loris his grinta of combatant, also in difficult situations. Iridescent possibilities: 10 %.
PEDROSA - Up to Sepang seemed put better than Hayden, also in the internal hierarchies of the Hrc. Then the Malay fall, with the consequences discounted in Australia and Japan, has thrown it out back in the Worldwide one. The stop can help it to be replaced in sixth physically but it cannot return to him the points left for road. And freely a detaching of 34 points, with 4 pilots to unhorse, puts it a little outside at the games. Iridescent possibilities: 5 %.
http://www.gazzetta.it/Motori/Motomondiale.../bilancio.shtml
So in your view who and and what are the chances for this five riders that are mathematical perspective challengers to the title?
Hayden - he has the lead...can he defend it? in my view he will win it only if he finishes in front of rossi in points at least once 40%
Rossi - has a great form...if M1 runs well i can't see a reason to stop rossi from taking home another trophy... 40%
Melandri .... super form... still 27 points is a long shoot: 8%
Capirossi... if bridgestones works and a miracle happens he could pull this off 7%
Pedrosa valencia will be a race where he will fight to perform good because is another home race for him...Sepang crash distroyed his chances to a title in his rookie year 5%
For me only hayden and rossi will count in the title clash...i say they have equal chances so bring on estoril...
