There's no way I'd choose Vietti for a MotoGP ride right now. He had a great start to 2022 but a horrible stretch to end the season and he doesn't even sit in the Top 10 of the championship standings this year.
I was giving him as an example. However, would you have picked Casey Stoner or Dani Pedrosa to be a multiple MotoGP champion based on their 2005 seasons in 250cc?
I'm not saying Vietti is a Stoner, but junior category results aren't always indicative of MotoGP performance and VR46 is about rider development, so why take Franco other than the fact he is part of the academy?
Arbolino is certainly a top-level talent but not every year there's room for more than one driver to move up. Zarco even spent a second year in Moto2 after his first championship.
Franco is a three-time race winner and finished 2nd in the championship less than three years ago and actually closed the gap to his world champion teammate this year. He definitely still deserves to be at the top level imo.
While I agree with your first statement, I disagree with your third. The very reason there is no room is because of riders holding on too long. Franco Morbidelli is not the same rider who finished 2nd in the 2020 championship, on a customer machine. He has NEVER been competitive on the factory bike and if the only justification for him is to say he is closer to a severly demotivated Fabio Quartararo on what is nearly a back of the grid bike is not a huge selling point. People are quick to write Joan Mir off, and he was WC in the same year.
MotoGP is now at a level where you cannot have riders holding factory seats for years on end hoping they come good. Ducati have enough talent in their roster to not need him, and as I said before, VR46 is a rider development academy. I stated in 2022 that Yamaha should have cut Francos contract when both the Suzuki riders became available and now they have signed Rins, like they should have done 12 months ago. Yamaha wasted a year waiting on the promise of old form, but it hasn't happened. When you have riders like Bastianini, Martin, Bezzechi, Binder, Augusto Fernandez this year alone on the grid, with Acosta and possibly Arbolino moving up next year, it makes a weak argument FOR Morbidelli.
I agree that Arbolino should get a seat. Acosta and Tony are the only two I'd take from moto2 for next year. The two riders I think should go from motogp are Zarco and Miller. I like Zarco and hope he gets a win this season but his time is up. He is a very talented rider but not future champion material. Jack we have seen the best of there is no reason to keep him around if other riders are available.
I'd add Vinales, Pol Espargaro and Raul Fernandez to that list.