Overall fantastic season opener for WSBK. Much more enjoyable than last season's opener where it didn't feel like the Kawasaki's were going to be under threat. Definitely a different vibe in the air this season. Alex Lowes did a fantastic job in both races, especially race 2. A pity he wasn't able to convert race 2 into a podium, but he certainly wasn't lacking in effort. Xavi Fores rode a hell of a race 2...he just ran out towards the end there.
The Ducati looked much stronger at Phillip Island this year than it did last year, as they didn't have the corner exit drive they were showing in both races, and in particular race 2. We'll see how this shapes up over the coming races, but early indicators are certainly favorable. The Kawasaki is still a great bike in the hands of Jonathan Rea. Even though he wasn't that far behind, there's starting to become the feeling that Tom Sykes is turning invisible. I suspect he will win a race this season, but the team order is clearly Rea #1 and Sykes #2. Sykes didn't do a lot to acquit himself of that perception down the stretch last year, and race 2 he never got close enough to the leading group to get in on the battle.
While people were running to anoint 2017 as Davies' year, this is looking to be premature. Melandri looked very strong in race 2, and this is probably a better idea of what to expect from him. While Davies is focused on matching Rea, Melandri is going to have an impact on this title battle, and it may not help his teammate. Either way, riding for free was a great move on his part, and he looks like the smartest guy on the grid. He won't be sitting there after races trying to stave off the gnawing doubts that are probably seeping into Nicky Hayden's brain. One of the most underrated skill sets in a racers' arsenal that rarely gets talked about --because I don't think people quite realize it-- is the ability to know when to switch teams, and more importantly, which team to go to. Nicky doesn't have this ability, and while he might not be circling the back of the MotoGP grid on a subpar Honda, he's still wallowing in mediocrity. I can't really imagine how disheartening it must be to make a decision based on the belief the company will come through for you, only for no such thing to materialize. Hope he had time to really look at what the Ducati's were doing after he retired from race 2.
But going back to Chaz Davies for a brief moment. The last lap was the first lap where you really saw him backing the bike into corners more heavily like he did last season when he was really bringing the hammer to the races. Not sure how comfortable he felt on the bike the entire weekend, but that's something to keep an eye on in the upcoming races: does he really start riding loose with the Ducati, or is he trying to keep a more balanced overall approach to keep up with Rea? Jonathan Rea on the brakes into the Doohan Corner when he needed to make moves was breathtaking. None of the other riders in that lead group were able to get on the brakes as heavily as Rea, while maintaining the corner speed to prevent running wide. He's still the master of WSBK for the time being and he was quite happy with how his rear tire wore for the race. Melandri and Davies are the only riders who can stop him, and I may be premature in my writing Sykes off as a legitimate title threat. Yet I can't help but look at Sykes over the last 18 months, and come to the conclusion (unfounded or not) that he hasn't been able to hold up under the competitive pressures on track.
Thailand is up next in 2 weeks. Kawasaki had a 1-2 of Rea/Sykes and Sykes/Rea in races 1 and 2 respectively. I still think the Kawasaki is the favorite to win the race, so this will be the first real test for the Ducati in 2017. We'll get a better idea of where the Yamaha R1 is at, and if Lowes simply took advantage of Phillip Island, or if they finally have taken a step in the right direction with the R1. Hoping it's the latter as that will ensure of us of another set of competitive races in Thailand.