In any case Smith is entitled to his view, even if his view seems to be devoid of any logic. Or perhaps he is so overawed by Rossi that he actually believes that it is possible for VR to have planned and executed a plan that was incredibly high risk and had a very low probability of having a positive outcome. Same goes for Toseland, although I think his view is based purely on wanting to say something controversial so as to not to appear to be boring (he has and always will have the personality of a wheel of cheese) and poor value for money. I don't think Toseland actually believes his own words.
More important is the whole theory that Rossi is some sort of mind gaming master. I don't think this is particularly true, and if it IS true, it is amateurish at best. I just think that his rivals, in this case Marc, get all bent out of shape, and Rossi just has to be his smug old self and plead ignorance which is immensely annoying in itself.