I am not sure how much respect I have for Dr Costa in his actual profession....
Like it or not Dani's 'style' of riding has produced NO championships for HRC in almost a decade. MM's on the other hand...
Kinda begs the question, if your scenario that the bike likes the 99-101% rather than the 105%, why would Honda move in that direction when it favours "greater mechanical sympathy" and their rider least likely to win them a championship? Why not move in a direction which favours the favourite?
Obviously MM displays a petulant resistance to altering his style/strategy (if bin-it-or-win-it is a strategy) and is paying the price, but even you have indicated that at least some level of blame lies at the feet of HRC for not providing the ideal tool.
Mick, Rat, valid points regarding Dani difficult to use as reference, though if I may, he has come runner up 4 times. But I'm still scratching my head how Kropo used Cal & Alvaro as some reference to Marquez as support to unequivocally declare the RCV's untimely "decline".
Agree with your first point, but I can still hope, and only to give us some sort of reference. Dani may not have the minerals to take a championship, but Redding should be riding a Penny Farthing (his feet would probably still touch the ground) and Crutchlow would drop a trike given half a chance. So Dani is our only likely comparison.
To answer your second point, and this is pure conjecture on my part, there are 2 reasons.
1. If a tool has a wider optimum operating range, said tool has a lower potential performance overall. Marc was riding a more forgiving machine because it was not as refined, and given the level of competition it flattered his riding style.
2. If a tool is refined to a point of higher overall performance, the operating range of the tool is narrower, requiring more finesse in order to extract maximum performance.
So in conclusion, Marc was flattered by an ultimately slower but more forgiving machine. Now the bar has been raised by Yamaha and Ducati, the latest iteration of the machine may well have a higher potential, but his lack of finesse means he cannot wield the tool as well as a rider that is more sensitive to its limitations.
They may have tried to develop a machine that seems more tailored to his style, but to create a machine that panders to a flawed style can only result in a machine that is more difficult to ride.
Whether or not HRC have not provided the tool needed to do the job isn't something I can answer without another rider providing additional feedback as to it performance limitations.
“You must be shapeless, formless, like water. When you pour water in a cup, it becomes the cup. When you pour water in a bottle, it becomes the bottle. When you pour water in a teapot, it becomes the teapot. Water can drip and it can crash. Become like water my friend.”
We have 3 examples of turd. One turd is smeared everywhere (Cal), another turd is smeared everywhere but theres splashback, hitting the surrounding parties (Alvaro). The third turd gets covered in glitter, and the glitter runs out but no one believes its just a turd. Last year the turd sparkled! For sure its more glitter than turd (Marc).
I'm covered in dandruff here...
Which is probably why HRC has Casey signed as a test rider. They know MM can't develop a bike for ...., and whether he will be able to do so down the road has yet to be seen. But for the moment, MM has no idea how to do so. So you've essentially got to rely on Dani and Casey to develop the RCV, and the problem with Casey is he isn't out there riding it all the time. So now you're really down to Dani for feedback since MM wants the bike to fit his style.
Sure you'd like a bike to fit your riding preferences, but the greats know how to adapt to the bike when necessary. If Stoner would have had the fortune Rossi had with being the preferred winner, what he would have accomplished over the long haul would have been immense because of his ability to adapt to the traits of a motorcycle.
MM right now doesn't have this adaptability...and frankly I think you either have it or you don't. It's not something that is learned, it's down to that talent thing which isn't exactly quantifiable.
For as long as MM can get away with late braking and the sliding of the rear to get the entry angle for the corner set without having to lose as much speed as everyone else, that's when he is going to shine. If Michelin decides to start bringing back the Saturday Night Specials and tailoring their tires for Rossi next year, MM more than anyone is going to be in deep .....
I don't think Marc has the requisite experience to adequately describe a preference feel wise. Obviously he can explain how a bike is behaving, but as to what is correct or not, he rides in such a way that by any normal standards, he is almost always mid-crash. Casey has ridden a number of different machines and had a level of adaptiveness that hasn't been seen since. And with that comes an understanding of machine behaviour. Rossi and Edwards come to mind as other riders that have honed the ability to do so, but it only comes with experience I believe. All three have/had the experience needed to understand how to provide the type of feedback needed to develop and set up a bike. Marc does not. And what you are left with when we look at Colin or Vale is a machine that is there or there abouts, and the final part is being able to adapt. Admittedly this is where Stoner had a bit extra.
I'm not sure I agree that this can't be a learn't skill, but when you have won at the highest level for two years straight out of the box, I'm not sure he has the attitude or approach required to modify his style. In his mind why should he, he's proven his way is the quickest and his talent will always win out (completely incorrect but hey, he hasn't had much in the way to tell him he is wrong YET).
I genuinely don't believe the SNS will make a return, but it would seem that extravagant riding styles aren't going to be catered for, and this is where Marc will fall foul. If we look back to Toni Elias, his method of riding was severely hampered when the single tyre rule came into force, and if history is to be believed, orthodox riding styles will be the ones that make the most profit by Michelins
Just looking for clarification. Is there any reason to suppose that next year's Michelins will favor any one particular bike or rider?
Michelin have just made a sweet deal, were handed the contract by Dorna because in a way Dorna have forced Bridgestone out, perhaps mutually. Michelin will be developing their tire based on rider feedback. (So far, agree?) If you had the clipboard, listening to the riders tell u what they liked and didn't like, one of which had the most storied relationship with you, which would u listen too?Just looking for clarification. Is there any reason to suppose that next year's Michelins will favor any one particular bike or rider?
See my response to Kesh.None whatsoever.
Michelin have just made a sweet deal, were handed the contract by Dorna because in a way Dorna have forced Bridgestone out, perhaps mutually. Michelin will be developing their tire based on rider feedback. (So far, agree?) If you had the clipboard, listening to the riders tell u what they liked and didn't like, which would u listen too?
See my response to Kesh.
To answer your second point, and this is pure conjecture on my part, there are 2 reasons.
1. If a tool has a wider optimum operating range, said tool has a lower potential performance overall. Marc was riding a more forgiving machine because it was not as refined, and given the level of competition it flattered his riding style.
2. If a tool is refined to a point of higher overall performance, the operating range of the tool is narrower, requiring more finesse in order to extract maximum performance.
With regard to my earlier comment about unorthodox riding styles being punished, I base this view purely on the fact that if a large quantity of the field start crashing it won't cast Michelin in a favourable light. They will make a set of incredibly conservative tyres to begin with that cater for the majority, and as a result the riders that have left-field styles will find that they can't exploit the tyre the way they used to on the BStones.